Rest of Season Projection
GavinCategoryMichael
117K ←97
4.18ERA →4.09
1.18WHIP ←1.23
7–16W →8–16
0SV0
Current Season
GavinCategoryMichael
88K ←60
3.07ERA ←3.25
1.09WHIP ←1.20
8W ←7
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gavin Williams
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.271 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.23 is 1.03 above the ERA — regression coming
Michael Soroka
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.09)
Gavin Williams: 117 K / 4.18 ERA. Michael Soroka: 97 K / 4.09 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).