MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Gavin Williams
Gavin Williams
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of Jesús Luzardo
Jesús Luzardo
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Gavin Williams.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Gavin Williams wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, W); Jesús Luzardo wins 1 (ERA); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Gavin Williams
97.0
Jesús Luzardo
97.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Gavin Williams
14.3%
Jesús Luzardo
15.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Gavin Williams
29.1%
Jesús Luzardo
29.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Gavin Williams
32.2%
Jesús Luzardo
33.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Gavin Williams
48.6%
Jesús Luzardo
30.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Gavin Williams
11.9%
Jesús Luzardo
5.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Gavin Williams
.324
Jesús Luzardo
.269
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Gavin Williams
2.424.84
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.07
4.29
Jesús Luzardo
2.424.84
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.30
2.96
WHIPlower is better
Gavin Williams
11.40
now 1.09
1.20
Jesús Luzardo
11.40
now 1.31
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Gavin Williams
55.8097.20
now 88
67
Jesús Luzardo
55.8097.20
now 78
65
Winshigher is better
Gavin Williams
.00011.80
now 8
49
Jesús Luzardo
.00011.80
now 4
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellGavin Williams — hold.conf 0.60
Buy LowJesús Luzardo — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.77
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