MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 2, 2026
Portrait of Casey Mize
Casey Mize
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Joe Ryan
Joe Ryan
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Joe Ryan.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Joe Ryan wins 2 categories (K, W); Casey Mize wins 1 (ERA); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Casey Mize
93.5
Joe Ryan
93.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
13.8%
Joe Ryan
13.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
26.9%
Joe Ryan
28.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Casey Mize
29.4%
Joe Ryan
32.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
34.7%
Joe Ryan
43.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
7.1%
Joe Ryan
10.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Casey Mize
.263
Joe Ryan
.280
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Casey Mize
23.57
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.27
2.81
Joe Ryan
23.57
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.20
3.19
WHIPlower is better
Casey Mize
.9001.20
now 0.97
1.13
Joe Ryan
.9001.20
now 0.97
1.13

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Casey Mize
4098
now 49
62
Joe Ryan
4098
now 79
84
Winshigher is better
Casey Mize
.4007.60
now 2
24
Joe Ryan
.4007.60
now 4
36

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyCasey Mize — buy.conf 0.92
BuyJoe Ryan — buy.conf 0.87
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