MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · July 1, 2026
Portrait of Casey Mize
Casey Mize
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Davis Martin
Davis Martin
CWS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Casey Mize wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Davis Martin wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Casey Mize
93.5
Davis Martin
94.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
13.8%
Davis Martin
13.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
26.9%
Davis Martin
23.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Casey Mize
29.4%
Davis Martin
33.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
34.7%
Davis Martin
44.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
7.1%
Davis Martin
5.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Casey Mize
.263
Davis Martin
.302
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Casey Mize
24.44
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.27
2.80
Davis Martin
24.44
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.00
3.74
WHIPlower is better
Casey Mize
.9001.38
now 0.97
1.13
Davis Martin
.9001.38
now 0.99
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Casey Mize
4088.20
now 49
63
Davis Martin
4088.20
now 71
77
Winshigher is better
Casey Mize
.00017.40
now 2
24
Davis Martin
.00017.40
now 8
613

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyCasey Mize — buy.conf 0.92
BuyDavis Martin — buy.conf 0.71
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