Who's more valuable, rest of season
Too close to call.
They split your categories 2–2. Take whoever fills a bigger need.
Head-to-head
K
▶
◀
ERA
◀
WHIP
W
▶
SV n/a
Casey Mize wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Parker Messick wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Casey Mize
93.5
Parker Messick
93.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
13.8%
Parker Messick
13.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
26.9%
Parker Messick
26.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Casey Mize
29.4%
Parker Messick
32.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
34.7%
Parker Messick
33.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
7.1%
Parker Messick
5.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Casey Mize
.263
Parker Messick
.278
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Casey Mize
23.51
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.27
2.80
Parker Messick
23.51
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.21
3.14
WHIPlower is better
Casey Mize
.9001.29
now 0.97
1.13
Parker Messick
.9001.29
now 1.07
1.20
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Casey Mize
4093.80
now 49
63
Parker Messick
4093.80
now 74
81
Winshigher is better
Casey Mize
.00011.80
now 2
2–4
Parker Messick
.00011.80
now 6
4–9
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyCasey Mize — buy.conf 0.92
BuyParker Messick — buy.conf 0.89