MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 19, 2026
Portrait of Casey Mize
Casey Mize
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Jesús Luzardo
Jesús Luzardo
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Casey Mize wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Jesús Luzardo wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Casey Mize
93.4
Jesús Luzardo
97.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
13.2%
Jesús Luzardo
14.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
25.2%
Jesús Luzardo
26.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Casey Mize
29.9%
Jesús Luzardo
33.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
35.7%
Jesús Luzardo
28.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
7.9%
Jesús Luzardo
6.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Casey Mize
.274
Jesús Luzardo
.287
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Casey Mize
25.11
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.27
3.01
Jesús Luzardo
25.11
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.30
3.31
WHIPlower is better
Casey Mize
.9001.45
now 0.97
1.20
Jesús Luzardo
.9001.45
now 1.31
1.28

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Casey Mize
40127.40
now 49
75
Jesús Luzardo
40127.40
now 78
105
Winshigher is better
Casey Mize
.00010.40
now 2
25
Jesús Luzardo
.00010.40
now 4
38

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighCasey Mize — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.82
Buy LowJesús Luzardo — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.87
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