MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 3, 2026
Portrait of Casey Mize
Casey Mize
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Jesús Luzardo
Jesús Luzardo
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Jesús Luzardo.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Jesús Luzardo wins 3 categories (K, ERA, W); Casey Mize wins 1 (WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Casey Mize
93.5
Jesús Luzardo
97.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
13.4%
Jesús Luzardo
14.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
24.9%
Jesús Luzardo
29.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Casey Mize
29.5%
Jesús Luzardo
33.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
36.0%
Jesús Luzardo
31.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
6.4%
Jesús Luzardo
5.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Casey Mize
.273
Jesús Luzardo
.269
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Casey Mize
25.11
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.27
3.07
Jesús Luzardo
25.11
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.30
2.98
WHIPlower is better
Casey Mize
.9001.45
now 0.97
1.16
Jesús Luzardo
.9001.45
now 1.31
1.23

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Casey Mize
4093.60
now 49
39
Jesús Luzardo
4093.60
now 78
50
Winshigher is better
Casey Mize
.0005.20
now 2
12
Jesús Luzardo
.0005.20
now 4
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighCasey Mize — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.80
Buy LowJesús Luzardo — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.78
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