MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 24, 2026
Portrait of Gerrit Cole
Gerrit Cole
NYY · P
Change to
Portrait of Jesús Luzardo
Jesús Luzardo
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Gerrit Cole wins 2 (WHIP, W); Jesús Luzardo wins 2 (K, ERA); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Gerrit Cole
96.9
Jesús Luzardo
97.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Gerrit Cole
10.5%
Jesús Luzardo
14.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Gerrit Cole
25.9%
Jesús Luzardo
29.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Gerrit Cole
29.2%
Jesús Luzardo
33.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Gerrit Cole
43.1%
Jesús Luzardo
30.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Gerrit Cole
10.3%
Jesús Luzardo
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Gerrit Cole
.291
Jesús Luzardo
.266
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Gerrit Cole
26.02
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.51
Jesús Luzardo
26.02
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.30
2.91
WHIPlower is better
Gerrit Cole
.9001.55
now 0.71
1.12
Jesús Luzardo
.9001.55
now 1.31
1.23

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Gerrit Cole
40104.40
now 12
45
Jesús Luzardo
40104.40
now 78
60
Winshigher is better
Gerrit Cole
.0006.60
now 1
25
Jesús Luzardo
.0006.60
now 4
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyGerrit Cole — buy.conf 0.78
Buy LowJesús Luzardo — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.76
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