MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 23, 2026
Portrait of Gerrit Cole
Gerrit Cole
NYY · P
Change to
Portrait of Payton Tolle
Payton Tolle
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Gerrit Cole wins 2 (WHIP, W); Payton Tolle wins 2 (K, ERA); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Gerrit Cole
96.9
Payton Tolle
96.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Gerrit Cole
9.2%
Payton Tolle
14.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Gerrit Cole
23.9%
Payton Tolle
26.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Gerrit Cole
28.9%
Payton Tolle
34.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Gerrit Cole
41.8%
Payton Tolle
34.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Gerrit Cole
9.4%
Payton Tolle
7.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Gerrit Cole
.293
Payton Tolle
.267
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Gerrit Cole
24.98
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.56
Payton Tolle
24.98
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.61
2.94
WHIPlower is better
Gerrit Cole
.9001.41
now 0.71
1.18
Payton Tolle
.9001.41
now 0.90
1.21

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Gerrit Cole
4075
now 12
48
Payton Tolle
4075
now 46
57
Winshigher is better
Gerrit Cole
.0006.60
now 1
25
Payton Tolle
.0006.60
now 2
23

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyGerrit Cole — buy.conf 0.76
BuyPayton Tolle — buy.conf 0.92
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