MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Portrait of Casey Mize
Casey Mize
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Gerrit Cole
Gerrit Cole
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Casey Mize wins 2 (K, ERA); Gerrit Cole wins 2 (WHIP, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Casey Mize
93.5
Gerrit Cole
96.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
13.4%
Gerrit Cole
10.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
24.9%
Gerrit Cole
25.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Casey Mize
29.5%
Gerrit Cole
29.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
36.0%
Gerrit Cole
43.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
6.4%
Gerrit Cole
10.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Casey Mize
.273
Gerrit Cole
.291
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Casey Mize
24.90
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.27
3.07
Gerrit Cole
24.90
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.50
WHIPlower is better
Casey Mize
.9001.34
now 0.97
1.16
Gerrit Cole
.9001.34
now 0.71
1.12

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Casey Mize
4063.80
now 49
43
Gerrit Cole
4063.80
now 12
42
Winshigher is better
Casey Mize
.0006.60
now 2
13
Gerrit Cole
.0006.60
now 1
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighCasey Mize — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.80
BuyGerrit Cole — buy.conf 0.78
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