Rest of Season Projection
BraxtonCategoryJesús
125K →129
2.76ERA ←3.16
1.14WHIP ←1.25
5–11W ←4–9
0SV0
Current Season
BraxtonCategoryJesús
81K ←78
2.77ERA ←4.30
1.03WHIP ←1.31
5W ←4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Braxton Ashcraft
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.76, 1.34 below league — production is earned
Jesús Luzardo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.360 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Ashcraft projects 2.76 ERA / 1.14 WHIP vs Luzardo's 3.16 / 1.25 — the 0.11 WHIP edge is meaningful. Both buy verdicts; Luzardo's 129 K outpaces Ashcraft's 125, but the ratios tilt toward Ashcraft.