MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Braxton Ashcraft
Braxton Ashcraft
PIT · P
Change to
Portrait of Jesús Luzardo
Jesús Luzardo
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Braxton Ashcraft wins 1 (WHIP); Jesús Luzardo wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Braxton Ashcraft
97.3
Jesús Luzardo
96.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Braxton Ashcraft
13.3%
Jesús Luzardo
14.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Braxton Ashcraft
25.9%
Jesús Luzardo
30.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Braxton Ashcraft
37.0%
Jesús Luzardo
33.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Braxton Ashcraft
41.6%
Jesús Luzardo
33.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Braxton Ashcraft
6.2%
Jesús Luzardo
5.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Braxton Ashcraft
.287
Jesús Luzardo
.262
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Braxton Ashcraft
2.164.91
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.77
3.42
Jesús Luzardo
2.164.91
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.30
2.83
WHIPlower is better
Braxton Ashcraft
.9201.42
now 1.03
1.14
Jesús Luzardo
.9201.42
now 1.31
1.17

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Braxton Ashcraft
40107.40
now 81
15
Jesús Luzardo
40107.40
now 78
15
Winshigher is better
Braxton Ashcraft
.0006.60
now 5
11
Jesús Luzardo
.0006.60
now 4
11

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyBraxton Ashcraft — buy.conf 0.80
BuyJesús Luzardo — buy.conf 0.92
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