MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 20, 2026
Portrait of Braxton Ashcraft
Braxton Ashcraft
PIT · P
Change to
Portrait of Jesús Luzardo
Jesús Luzardo
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Braxton Ashcraft wins 2 (WHIP, W); Jesús Luzardo wins 2 (K, ERA); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Braxton Ashcraft
97.2
Jesús Luzardo
97.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Braxton Ashcraft
14.3%
Jesús Luzardo
14.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Braxton Ashcraft
27.8%
Jesús Luzardo
29.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Braxton Ashcraft
37.2%
Jesús Luzardo
33.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Braxton Ashcraft
41.0%
Jesús Luzardo
30.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Braxton Ashcraft
6.0%
Jesús Luzardo
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Braxton Ashcraft
.283
Jesús Luzardo
.266
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Braxton Ashcraft
2.164.91
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.77
3.31
Jesús Luzardo
2.164.91
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.30
2.91
WHIPlower is better
Braxton Ashcraft
.9201.42
now 1.03
1.16
Jesús Luzardo
.9201.42
now 1.31
1.23

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Braxton Ashcraft
55.8088.20
now 81
63
Jesús Luzardo
55.8088.20
now 78
64
Winshigher is better
Braxton Ashcraft
.4007.60
now 5
36
Jesús Luzardo
.4007.60
now 4
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyBraxton Ashcraft — buy.conf 0.84
Buy LowJesús Luzardo — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.76
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