MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Portrait of Bryce Miller
Bryce Miller
SEA · P
Change to
Portrait of Jesús Luzardo
Jesús Luzardo
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Bryce Miller wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Jesús Luzardo wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bryce Miller
96.1
Jesús Luzardo
97.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bryce Miller
15.5%
Jesús Luzardo
14.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bryce Miller
26.9%
Jesús Luzardo
29.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bryce Miller
36.4%
Jesús Luzardo
33.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bryce Miller
30.9%
Jesús Luzardo
31.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bryce Miller
6.6%
Jesús Luzardo
5.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bryce Miller
.254
Jesús Luzardo
.263
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bryce Miller
25.34
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.71
2.66
Jesús Luzardo
25.34
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.30
2.85
WHIPlower is better
Bryce Miller
.9001.49
now 0.86
1.06
Jesús Luzardo
.9001.49
now 1.31
1.21

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bryce Miller
40101.20
now 20
36
Jesús Luzardo
40101.20
now 78
56
Winshigher is better
Bryce Miller
.0005.20
now 1
13
Jesús Luzardo
.0005.20
now 4
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyBryce Miller — buy.conf 0.92
BuyJesús Luzardo — buy.conf 0.92
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