Rest of Season Projection
BrayanCategoryMookie
5HR →10
43R ←38
45RBI ←43
15SB ←0
.257AVG ←.237
Current Season
BrayanCategoryMookie
4HR →6
26R ←14
27RBI ←16
9SB ←0
.293AVG ←.196
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brayan Rocchio
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.323 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.320 is 0.036 below the surface — regression coming
Mookie Betts
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.174 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Brayan Rocchio: 5 HR / 43 R. Mookie Betts: 10 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).