Rest of Season Projection
BraydonCategoryJuan
55K ←49
3.67ERA ←3.71
1.25WHIP ←1.26
2–5W ←1–2
1–3SV →3–6
Current Season
BraydonCategoryJuan
33K ←30
2.48ERA ←6.00
0.95WHIP ←1.70
2W ←1
1SV →3
What Each Player's System Trusts
Braydon Fisher
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.224 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.40 is 0.99 above the ERA — regression coming
Juan Mejia
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.372 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Braydon Fisher: 55 K / 3.67 ERA. Juan Mejia: 49 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).