Rest of Season Projection
BraydonCategorySpencer
44K →45
3.69ERA3.68
1.25WHIP →1.24
1–4W2–4
1–2SV ←0
Current Season
BraydonCategorySpencer
33K →34
2.48ERA ←3.47
0.95WHIP ←1.16
2W2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Braydon Fisher
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.247 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.65 is 0.87 above the ERA — regression coming
Spencer Miles
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.54)
Fisher projects for 44 K / 3.69 ERA vs Miles's 45 K / 3.68 ERA — nearly identical numbers. The sell-high call on Fisher signals the gap will widen. Hold Miles for stability.