Rest of Season Projection
BrennanCategoryJakob
35K ←29
3.69ERA →3.67
1.24WHIP1.24
2–5W ←0–0
0SV →3–6
Current Season
BrennanCategoryJakob
18K ←16
3.70ERA →1.75
1.23WHIP →0.78
2W ←0
0SV →3
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brennan Bernardino
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.316 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Jakob Junis
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.205 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.11 is 1.42 above the ERA — regression coming
Brennan Bernardino: 35 K / 3.69 ERA. Jakob Junis: 29 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).