MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 20, 2026
Portrait of Brennan Bernardino
Brennan Bernardino
COL · P
Change to
Portrait of Paul Blackburn
Paul Blackburn
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Paul Blackburn.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Brennan Bernardino’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Paul Blackburn wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Brennan Bernardino wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brennan Bernardino
90.5
Paul Blackburn
94.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brennan Bernardino
10.6%
Paul Blackburn
9.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brennan Bernardino
17.4%
Paul Blackburn
18.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brennan Bernardino
26.5%
Paul Blackburn
26.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brennan Bernardino
29.9%
Paul Blackburn
32.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brennan Bernardino
4.7%
Paul Blackburn
7.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brennan Bernardino
.313
Paul Blackburn
.294
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brennan Bernardino
3.113.94
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.70
3.72
Paul Blackburn
3.113.94
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.33
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Brennan Bernardino
1.151.52
now 1.23
1.25
Paul Blackburn
1.151.52
now 1.44
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brennan Bernardino
4023.60
now 18
17
Paul Blackburn
4023.60
now 16
15
Winshigher is better
Brennan Bernardino
.2003.80
now 2
12
Paul Blackburn
.2003.80
now 2
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBrennan Bernardino — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighPaul Blackburn — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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