Rest of Season Projection
BrennanCategoryTyler
34K ←33
3.70ERA →3.67
1.24WHIP ←1.25
2–5W ←1–2
0SV →1–5
Current Season
BrennanCategoryTyler
18K →21
3.70ERA →3.12
1.23WHIP ←1.38
2W ←1
0SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brennan Bernardino
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.63 sits 0.47 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.316 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Tyler Alexander
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.23)
Brennan Bernardino: 34 K / 3.70 ERA. Tyler Alexander: 33 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).