MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Matt Gage
Matt Gage
SF · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Alexander
Tyler Alexander
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Matt Gage wins 1 (WHIP); Tyler Alexander wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matt Gage
92.2
Tyler Alexander
91.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matt Gage
11.6%
Tyler Alexander
9.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matt Gage
17.5%
Tyler Alexander
19.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matt Gage
34.1%
Tyler Alexander
31.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matt Gage
31.4%
Tyler Alexander
32.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matt Gage
10.5%
Tyler Alexander
4.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matt Gage
.352
Tyler Alexander
.279
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matt Gage
2.184.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.63
3.76
Tyler Alexander
2.184.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.12
3.24
WHIPlower is better
Matt Gage
1.191.45
now 1.29
1.26
Tyler Alexander
1.191.45
now 1.38
1.34

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matt Gage
4029.40
now 19
0
Tyler Alexander
4029.40
now 21
0
Winshigher is better
Matt Gage
.0005.60
now 4
0–0
Tyler Alexander
.0005.60
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeMatt Gage — hold.conf 0.50
BuyTyler Alexander — buy.conf 0.86
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