MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 21, 2026
Portrait of Brent Headrick
Brent Headrick
NYY · P
Change to
Portrait of Bryan Abreu
Bryan Abreu
HOU · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Bryan Abreu.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and saves. Brent Headrick’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Bryan Abreu wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, SV); Brent Headrick wins 1 (ERA); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brent Headrick
94.3
Bryan Abreu
95.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brent Headrick
17.9%
Bryan Abreu
12.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brent Headrick
28.4%
Bryan Abreu
27.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brent Headrick
34.1%
Bryan Abreu
25.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brent Headrick
36.2%
Bryan Abreu
48.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brent Headrick
4.7%
Bryan Abreu
7.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brent Headrick
.265
Bryan Abreu
.345
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brent Headrick
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.00
2.89
Bryan Abreu
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.87
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Brent Headrick
.9302.33
now 1.37
1.25
Bryan Abreu
.9302.33
now 2.02
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brent Headrick
4034.60
now 29
22
Bryan Abreu
4034.60
now 23
26
Winshigher is better
Brent Headrick
.0005.20
now 3
14
Bryan Abreu
.0005.20
now 2
13
Saveshigher is better
Brent Headrick
.0005.60
now 0
0
Bryan Abreu
.0005.60
now 3
24
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyBrent Headrick — buy.conf 0.92
Hold · wait & seeBryan Abreu — hold.conf 0.50
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