MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 24, 2026
Portrait of Brent Headrick
Brent Headrick
NYY · P
Change to
Gabriel Hughes
COL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Brent Headrick.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and wins. Gabriel Hughes’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Brent Headrick wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, W); Gabriel Hughes wins 1 (SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brent Headrick
94.3
Gabriel Hughes
92.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brent Headrick
18.1%
Gabriel Hughes
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brent Headrick
30.0%
Gabriel Hughes
24.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brent Headrick
34.0%
Gabriel Hughes
30.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brent Headrick
35.9%
Gabriel Hughes
28.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brent Headrick
4.7%
Gabriel Hughes
1.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brent Headrick
.258
Gabriel Hughes
.233
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brent Headrick
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.00
2.74
Gabriel Hughes
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Brent Headrick
.9001.52
now 1.37
1.21
Gabriel Hughes
.9001.52
now 1.00
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brent Headrick
4040.20
now 29
21
Gabriel Hughes
4040.20
now 1
9
Winshigher is better
Brent Headrick
.0004.20
now 3
13
Gabriel Hughes
.0004.20
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Brent Headrick
.00023.80
now 0
0
Gabriel Hughes
.00023.80
now 1
417
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyBrent Headrick — buy.conf 0.92
Hold · wait & seeGabriel Hughes — hold.conf 0.50
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