MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 24, 2026
Portrait of Brent Headrick
Brent Headrick
NYY · P
Change to
Emilio Pagán
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Brent Headrick.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Brent Headrick wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Emilio Pagán wins 1 (SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brent Headrick
94.3
Emilio Pagán
94.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brent Headrick
18.1%
Emilio Pagán
13.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brent Headrick
30.0%
Emilio Pagán
22.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brent Headrick
34.0%
Emilio Pagán
29.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brent Headrick
35.9%
Emilio Pagán
56.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brent Headrick
4.7%
Emilio Pagán
10.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brent Headrick
.258
Emilio Pagán
.337
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brent Headrick
28.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.00
2.74
Emilio Pagán
28.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.43
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Brent Headrick
1.121.52
now 1.37
1.21
Emilio Pagán
1.121.52
now 1.43
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brent Headrick
4036.20
now 29
21
Emilio Pagán
4036.20
now 11
16
Winshigher is better
Brent Headrick
.2003.80
now 3
13
Emilio Pagán
.2003.80
now 2
23
Saveshigher is better
Brent Headrick
.00014
now 0
0
Emilio Pagán
.00014
now 6
510
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyBrent Headrick — buy.conf 0.92
Hold · wait & seeEmilio Pagán — hold.conf 0.50
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