Who's more valuable, rest of season
Brent Headrick.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and wins. Louis Varland’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
▶
◀
ERA
◀
WHIP
◀
W
SV
▶
Brent Headrick wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, W); Louis Varland wins 2 (K, SV).
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brent Headrick
94.3
Louis Varland
98.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brent Headrick
18.1%
Louis Varland
15.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brent Headrick
30.0%
Louis Varland
34.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brent Headrick
34.0%
Louis Varland
35.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brent Headrick
35.9%
Louis Varland
34.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brent Headrick
4.7%
Louis Varland
2.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brent Headrick
.258
Louis Varland
.219
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brent Headrick
24.83
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.00
2.74
Louis Varland
24.83
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.29
3.53
WHIPlower is better
Brent Headrick
.9001.51
now 1.37
1.21
Louis Varland
.9001.51
now 1.03
1.22
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brent Headrick
4050.40
now 29
21
Louis Varland
4050.40
now 42
24
Winshigher is better
Brent Headrick
.2003.80
now 3
1–3
Louis Varland
.2003.80
now 2
1–2
Saveshigher is better
Brent Headrick
.00011.20
now 0
0
Louis Varland
.00011.20
now 8
4–7
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyBrent Headrick — buy.conf 0.92
Hold · wait & seeLouis Varland — hold.conf 0.50