Rest of Season Projection
BriceCategoryHenry
7HR ←1
27R ←16
27RBI ←16
4SB →16
.183AVG →.205
Current Season
BriceCategoryHenry
4HR ←0
14R ←4
14RBI ←4
2SB →4
.204AVG →.288
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brice Matthews
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.259 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 33% is stable and high — caps the floor
Henry Bolte
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.419 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.263 is 0.070 below the surface — regression coming
Brice Matthews: 7 HR / 27 R. Henry Bolte: 1 HR / 16 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).