Rest of Season Projection
BrockCategoryJosé
38K →44
3.75ERA →3.71
1.27WHIP →1.26
1–2W ←0–0
1–3SV1–3
Current Season
BrockCategoryJosé
27K →33
3.62ERA ←5.46
1.39WHIP ←1.89
1W ←0
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brock Burke
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.253 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.49 is 1.40 above the ERA — regression coming
José Suarez
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.80 sits 0.30 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.442 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Brock Burke: 38 K / 3.75 ERA. José Suarez: 44 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).