Rest of Season Projection
BryanCategoryJacob
46K ←34
3.70ERA →3.61
1.24WHIP →1.23
2–5W ←1–2
4–7SV →8–15
Current Season
BryanCategoryJacob
23K →26
6.87ERA →2.00
2.02WHIP →0.59
2W ←1
3SV →8
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryan Abreu
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.27)
Jacob Latz
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.145 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.33 is 0.47 above the ERA — regression coming
Bryan Abreu: 46 K / 3.70 ERA. Jacob Latz: 34 K / 3.61 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).