MLB Daily DeltaWeek 10 · June 3, 2026
Engraved portrait of Jacob Latz
week 10
this weekSELL-HIGH
last weekSELL-HIGH
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Jacob Latz

TEX·P
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10

Latz is a sell-high — ERA hiding behind BABIP noise.

Surface ERA flattered by an unsustainably low BABIP-against; xERA says regression. Sell high.

Sell High
med0.72

Drivers

  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.138 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.43 is 0.43 above the ERA — regression coming
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed46.3%
46.3%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+6.3%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL67 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed7.5%
7.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.5%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL67 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.249
.249
lg avg .315 ▼−.066too early to trust
NOISE98 / 200 TBF
xERA2.43
2.43
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.67too early to trust
NOISE98 / 200 TBF
ERA2.00
2.00
lg avg 4.10 ▼−2.10too early to trust
NOISE27 / 200 IP
Strikeout %26.5%
26.5%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+4.5%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL98 / 70 TBF
Walk %5.1%
5.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.9%too early to trust
NOISE98 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.138
.138
lg avg .295 ▼−.157too early to trust
NOISE67 / 800 BIP