MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 9, 2026
Portrait of Bryan Abreu
Bryan Abreu
HOU · P
Change to
Portrait of Kevin Kelly
Kevin Kelly
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Bryan Abreu wins 2 (K, SV); Kevin Kelly wins 2 (WHIP, W); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bryan Abreu
95.4
Kevin Kelly
93.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bryan Abreu
13.3%
Kevin Kelly
9.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bryan Abreu
30.2%
Kevin Kelly
21.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bryan Abreu
26.3%
Kevin Kelly
32.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bryan Abreu
43.6%
Kevin Kelly
44.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bryan Abreu
6.4%
Kevin Kelly
6.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bryan Abreu
.316
Kevin Kelly
.297
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bryan Abreu
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.87
3.70
Kevin Kelly
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.67
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Bryan Abreu
.9002.50
now 2.02
1.24
Kevin Kelly
.9002.50
now 0.81
1.23

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bryan Abreu
4028.60
now 23
17
Kevin Kelly
4028.60
now 19
10
Winshigher is better
Bryan Abreu
.2003.80
now 2
12
Kevin Kelly
.2003.80
now 3
12
Saveshigher is better
Bryan Abreu
.0004.40
now 3
13
Kevin Kelly
.0004.40
now 2
02
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBryan Abreu — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighKevin Kelly — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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