Rest of Season Projection
BryceCategoryDrew
95K →99
3.18ERA ←3.30
1.29WHIP →1.16
4–9W →5–10
0SV0
Current Season
BryceCategoryDrew
61K ←55
2.50ERA ←3.36
1.08WHIP →1.02
4W4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryce Elder
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.254 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.18 is 0.68 above the ERA — regression coming
Drew Rasmussen
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.30, 0.80 below league — production is earned
Elder 3.18 ERA / 95 K vs Rasmussen 3.30 / 99 K. The WHIP spread (1.29 vs 1.16) shifts value. Sell Elder; acquire Rasmussen.