Rest of Season Projection
BryceCategoryCam
95K →128
3.18ERA →2.55
1.29WHIP →1.05
4–9W →7–16
0SV0
Current Season
BryceCategoryCam
61K →81
2.50ERA →1.50
1.08WHIP →0.85
4W →7
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryce Elder
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.254 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.18 is 0.68 above the ERA — regression coming
Cam Schlittler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.55 is 1.05 above the ERA — regression coming
Schlittler outpaces Elder: 128 K vs 95 K and 2.55 ERA vs 3.18 ERA — the strikeout gap defines the sell-high case.