Rest of Season Projection
BryceCategoryKyle
95K →109
3.18ERA →3.09
1.29WHIP →1.16
4–9W →8–17
0SV0
Current Season
BryceCategoryKyle
61K61
2.50ERA →1.57
1.08WHIP →1.03
4W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryce Elder
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.254 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.18 is 0.68 above the ERA — regression coming
Kyle Harrison
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.09, 1.01 below league — production is earned
Bryce Elder: 95 K / 3.18 ERA. Kyle Harrison: 109 K / 3.09 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).