Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryKyle
130K ←109
2.89ERA ←3.09
1.17WHIP →1.16
8–17W8–17
0SV0
Current Season
ChaseCategoryKyle
72K ←61
1.96ERA →1.57
0.96WHIP ←1.03
7W ←6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Burns
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.230 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.89 is 0.93 above the ERA — regression coming
Kyle Harrison
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.09, 1.01 below league — production is earned
Burns projects for 130 K / 2.89 ERA vs Harrison's 109 K / 3.09 ERA. The sell-high verdict on Burns signals fading skill; Harrison's buy verdict reflects sustainable production.