MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
Portrait of Chase Burns
Chase Burns
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Kyle Harrison
Kyle Harrison
MIL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Chase Burns wins 1 (K); Kyle Harrison wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Burns
97.8
Kyle Harrison
95.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
15.5%
Kyle Harrison
14.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
28.6%
Kyle Harrison
29.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Burns
34.0%
Kyle Harrison
33.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
37.4%
Kyle Harrison
36.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
8.9%
Kyle Harrison
6.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Burns
.277
Kyle Harrison
.277
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Burns
23.77
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.96
3.14
Kyle Harrison
23.77
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.57
3.14
WHIPlower is better
Chase Burns
.9001.34
now 0.96
1.23
Kyle Harrison
.9001.34
now 1.03
1.12

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Burns
54.4077.60
now 72
68
Kyle Harrison
54.4077.60
now 61
60
Winshigher is better
Chase Burns
211
now 7
49
Kyle Harrison
211
now 6
49

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighChase Burns — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.89
BuyKyle Harrison — buy.conf 0.89
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