MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Portrait of Chase Burns
Chase Burns
CIN · P
Change to
Dylan Cease
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Dylan Cease.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Chase Burns’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Dylan Cease wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Chase Burns wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Burns
97.8
Dylan Cease
97.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
15.6%
Dylan Cease
16.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
28.6%
Dylan Cease
36.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Burns
34.0%
Dylan Cease
33.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
36.4%
Dylan Cease
32.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
8.6%
Dylan Cease
5.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Burns
.276
Dylan Cease
.260
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Burns
23.61
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.96
3.14
Dylan Cease
23.61
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.91
2.77
WHIPlower is better
Chase Burns
.9001.34
now 0.96
1.23
Dylan Cease
.9001.34
now 1.16
1.19

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Burns
40121.40
now 72
57
Dylan Cease
40121.40
now 103
70
Winshigher is better
Chase Burns
.0009.40
now 7
37
Dylan Cease
.0009.40
now 3
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighChase Burns — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.94
BuyDylan Cease — buy.conf 0.92
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