MLB Daily DeltaWeek 28 · October 1, 2026
Portrait of Chase Burns
Chase Burns
CIN · P
Change to
Dylan Cease
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Dylan Cease.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Chase Burns’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Dylan Cease wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Chase Burns wins 0 (none); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Burns
97.6
Dylan Cease
96.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
15.7%
Dylan Cease
15.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
29.4%
Dylan Cease
34.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Burns
34.3%
Dylan Cease
31.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
38.2%
Dylan Cease
31.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
8.0%
Dylan Cease
5.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Burns
.279
Dylan Cease
.265
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Burns
23.77
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.96
3.25
Dylan Cease
23.77
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.91
2.92
WHIPlower is better
Chase Burns
.9001.35
now 0.96
1.24
Dylan Cease
.9001.35
now 1.16
1.23

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Burns
40144.20
now 72
0
Dylan Cease
40144.20
now 103
0
Winshigher is better
Chase Burns
.0009.80
now 7
0–0
Dylan Cease
.0009.80
now 3
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyChase Burns — buy.conf 0.85
Sell HighDylan Cease — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.86
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