Rest of Season Projection
BryceCategoryLanden
95K →116
3.18ERA ←3.28
1.29WHIP ←1.34
4–9W →6–12
0SV0
Current Season
BryceCategoryLanden
61K →72
2.50ERA ←4.22
1.08WHIP ←1.31
4W →5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryce Elder
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.254 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.18 is 0.68 above the ERA — regression coming
Landen Roupp
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.325 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Bryce Elder trails Roupp in K (95 vs 116) but edges in WHIP (1.29 vs 1.34). The ERA is nearly identical (3.18 vs 3.28). Sell-high Elder; buy-low Roupp.