Rest of Season Projection
BryceCategoryMatt
18HR →20
53R →62
53RBI →68
6SB ←2
.270AVG ←.249
Current Season
BryceCategoryMatt
13HR →16
34R →41
34RBI →45
4SB ←1
.261AVG.261
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryce Harper
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.268 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Matt Olson
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.379, +0.064 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Bryce Harper: 18 HR / 53 R. Matt Olson: 20 HR / 62 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).