Rest of Season Projection
BrysonCategoryEzequiel
8HR ←7
27R →44
44RBI →56
17SB ←9
.233AVG →.255
Current Season
BrysonCategoryEzequiel
6HR ←4
16R →25
26RBI →32
10SB ←5
.217AVG →.299
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryson Stott
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.302)
Ezequiel Duran
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.365 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.309 is 0.039 below the surface — regression coming
Bryson Stott: 8 HR / 27 R. Ezequiel Duran: 7 HR / 44 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).