Rest of Season Projection
BrysonCategoryLuis
8HR ←1
27R →44
44RBI ←35
17SB ←8
.232AVG →.296
Current Season
BrysonCategoryLuis
6HR ←2
16R →29
26RBI ←23
10SB ←5
.217AVG →.321
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryson Stott
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.301)
Luis Arraez
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.324 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.310 is 0.038 below the surface — regression coming
Bryson Stott: 8 HR / 27 R. Luis Arraez: 1 HR / 44 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).