MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 9, 2026
Cade Povich
BAL · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Mahle
Tyler Mahle
ATL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Cade Povich wins 2 (WHIP, W); Tyler Mahle wins 2 (K, ERA); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Povich
91.9
Tyler Mahle
92.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Povich
12.2%
Tyler Mahle
9.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Povich
18.1%
Tyler Mahle
23.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Povich
31.7%
Tyler Mahle
27.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Povich
44.2%
Tyler Mahle
36.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Povich
7.8%
Tyler Mahle
6.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Povich
.333
Tyler Mahle
.309
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Povich
3.166.86
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.12
4.10
Tyler Mahle
3.166.86
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.04
3.98
WHIPlower is better
Cade Povich
1.201.64
now 1.34
1.30
Tyler Mahle
1.201.64
now 1.54
1.36

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Povich
4075
now 12
22
Tyler Mahle
4075
now 57
38
Winshigher is better
Cade Povich
.0002.80
now 1
12
Tyler Mahle
.0002.80
now 1
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCade Povich — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · steadyTyler Mahle — hold.conf 0.60
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