Rest of Season Projection
ConnorCategoryTyler
81K →91
4.07ERA4.07
1.35WHIP ←1.38
1–3W1–2
0SV0
Current Season
ConnorCategoryTyler
35K →57
5.13ERA ←6.04
1.35WHIP ←1.54
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Connor Prielipp
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.07)
Tyler Mahle
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.07 sits 0.03 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.335 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Connor Prielipp: 81 K / 4.07 ERA. Tyler Mahle: 91 K / 4.07 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).