Rest of Season Projection
CalebCategoryMiguel
4HR →15
27R →67
40RBI →58
7SB →14
.217AVG →.229
Current Season
CalebCategoryMiguel
1HR →15
15R →44
22RBI →38
4SB →9
.183AVG →.241
What Each Player's System Trusts
Caleb Durbin
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.264 below league with no luck excuse
Miguel Vargas
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.395, +0.080 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Caleb Durbin: 4 HR / 27 R. Miguel Vargas: 15 HR / 67 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).