MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 7, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Kilian
Caleb Kilian
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Jovani Morán
Jovani Morán
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Kilian wins 2 (ERA, SV); Jovani Morán wins 2 (K, WHIP); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
96.8
Jovani Morán
92.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
13.8%
Jovani Morán
15.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
27.7%
Jovani Morán
28.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
31.8%
Jovani Morán
28.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
36.1%
Jovani Morán
31.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
8.2%
Jovani Morán
7.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
.289
Jovani Morán
.278
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Kilian
2.944.06
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.81
3.45
Jovani Morán
2.944.06
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.19
3.65
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Kilian
.9501.44
now 1.15
1.33
Jovani Morán
.9501.44
now 1.06
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
4043
now 29
15
Jovani Morán
4043
now 35
20
Winshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.0002.80
now 2
12
Jovani Morán
.0002.80
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.0004.40
now 3
12
Jovani Morán
.0004.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowCaleb Kilian — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Sell HighJovani Morán — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.73
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