MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 31, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Thielbar
Caleb Thielbar
CHC · P
Change to
Erik Sabrowski
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 3 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Thielbar wins 1 (SV); Erik Sabrowski wins 1 (K); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
93.3
Erik Sabrowski
94.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
15.3%
Erik Sabrowski
15.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
31.3%
Erik Sabrowski
39.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
39.3%
Erik Sabrowski
30.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
40.0%
Erik Sabrowski
40.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
13.8%
Erik Sabrowski
10.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
.316
Erik Sabrowski
.261
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
24.50
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
3.70
Erik Sabrowski
24.50
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.71
3.69
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
.9001.50
now 1.34
1.24
Erik Sabrowski
.9001.50
now 0.95
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
4048.60
now 15
16
Erik Sabrowski
4048.60
now 39
30
Winshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.2003.80
now 2
13
Erik Sabrowski
.2003.80
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.0005.60
now 2
14
Erik Sabrowski
.0005.60
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Thielbar — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeErik Sabrowski — hold.conf 0.50
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