Rest of Season Projection
CalebCategoryRico
33K ←31
3.70ERA →3.65
1.24WHIP1.24
2–7W3–6
2–8SV3–5
Current Season
CalebCategoryRico
15K →28
2.84ERA →0.71
1.34WHIP →0.63
2W →3
2SV →3
What Each Player's System Trusts
Caleb Thielbar
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.82)
Rico Garcia
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.131 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.59 is 1.33 above the ERA — regression coming
Caleb Thielbar: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Rico Garcia: 31 K / 3.65 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).