MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 25, 2026
Portrait of Antonio Senzatela
Antonio Senzatela
COL · P
Change to
Portrait of Caleb Thielbar
Caleb Thielbar
CHC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Caleb Thielbar.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and saves. Antonio Senzatela’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Thielbar wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, SV); Antonio Senzatela wins 2 (ERA, W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Antonio Senzatela
97.3
Caleb Thielbar
93.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Antonio Senzatela
12.8%
Caleb Thielbar
14.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Antonio Senzatela
20.8%
Caleb Thielbar
27.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Antonio Senzatela
29.3%
Caleb Thielbar
36.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Antonio Senzatela
41.1%
Caleb Thielbar
34.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Antonio Senzatela
6.3%
Caleb Thielbar
13.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Antonio Senzatela
.283
Caleb Thielbar
.331
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Antonio Senzatela
24.66
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.30
3.64
Caleb Thielbar
24.66
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Antonio Senzatela
.9001.52
now 0.89
1.25
Caleb Thielbar
.9001.52
now 1.34
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Antonio Senzatela
4034.60
now 26
25
Caleb Thielbar
4034.60
now 15
29
Winshigher is better
Antonio Senzatela
.00010.40
now 5
48
Caleb Thielbar
.00010.40
now 2
26
Saveshigher is better
Antonio Senzatela
.0009
now 3
25
Caleb Thielbar
.0009
now 2
27
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighAntonio Senzatela — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Thielbar — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet