MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Morris
Andrew Morris
MIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Caleb Thielbar
Caleb Thielbar
CHC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Caleb Thielbar.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — WHIP, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Thielbar wins 3 categories (WHIP, W, SV); Andrew Morris wins 1 (ERA); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Morris
97.0
Caleb Thielbar
93.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Morris
10.7%
Caleb Thielbar
15.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Morris
24.1%
Caleb Thielbar
30.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Morris
27.1%
Caleb Thielbar
38.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Morris
32.9%
Caleb Thielbar
39.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Morris
2.8%
Caleb Thielbar
14.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Morris
.264
Caleb Thielbar
.318
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Morris
2.304.72
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.18
2.88
Caleb Thielbar
2.304.72
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Morris
1.131.63
now 1.52
1.28
Caleb Thielbar
1.131.63
now 1.34
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Morris
4025.60
now 20
17
Caleb Thielbar
4025.60
now 15
17
Winshigher is better
Andrew Morris
.0005.60
now 1
01
Caleb Thielbar
.0005.60
now 2
14
Saveshigher is better
Andrew Morris
.0005.60
now 1
02
Caleb Thielbar
.0005.60
now 2
14
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowAndrew Morris — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.71
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Thielbar — hold.conf 0.50
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