MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Thielbar
Caleb Thielbar
CHC · P
Change to
Portrait of Jeremiah Estrada
Jeremiah Estrada
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 3 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Thielbar wins 1 (SV); Jeremiah Estrada wins 1 (K); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
93.2
Jeremiah Estrada
95.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
15.2%
Jeremiah Estrada
15.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
30.8%
Jeremiah Estrada
28.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
38.4%
Jeremiah Estrada
32.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
39.7%
Jeremiah Estrada
32.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
14.1%
Jeremiah Estrada
8.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
.318
Jeremiah Estrada
.294
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
2.504.04
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
3.70
Jeremiah Estrada
2.504.04
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.20
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
.9601.45
now 1.34
1.24
Jeremiah Estrada
.9601.45
now 1.07
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
4028.60
now 15
17
Jeremiah Estrada
4028.60
now 22
23
Winshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.0005.20
now 2
14
Jeremiah Estrada
.0005.20
now 2
13
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.0005.60
now 2
14
Jeremiah Estrada
.0005.60
now 1
02
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Thielbar — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeJeremiah Estrada — hold.conf 0.50
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