MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Thielbar
Caleb Thielbar
CHC · P
Change to
Portrait of Richard Lovelady
Richard Lovelady
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Caleb Thielbar.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Thielbar wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Richard Lovelady wins 1 (SV); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
93.2
Richard Lovelady
91.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
15.2%
Richard Lovelady
10.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
30.8%
Richard Lovelady
18.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
38.4%
Richard Lovelady
29.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
39.7%
Richard Lovelady
32.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
14.1%
Richard Lovelady
6.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
.318
Richard Lovelady
.361
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
2.474.14
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
3.70
Richard Lovelady
2.474.14
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.38
3.77
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
1.041.95
now 1.34
1.24
Richard Lovelady
1.041.95
now 1.75
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
4026.60
now 15
17
Richard Lovelady
4026.60
now 21
17
Winshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.0005.20
now 2
14
Richard Lovelady
.0005.20
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.0005.40
now 2
14
Richard Lovelady
.0005.40
now 4
24
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Thielbar — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeRichard Lovelady — hold.conf 0.50
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