MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 9, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Thielbar
Caleb Thielbar
CHC · P
Change to
Jordan Romano
COL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Jordan Romano.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and saves. Caleb Thielbar’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Jordan Romano wins 2 categories (K, SV); Caleb Thielbar wins 1 (W); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
93.3
Jordan Romano
94.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
14.7%
Jordan Romano
13.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
28.8%
Jordan Romano
29.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
38.0%
Jordan Romano
31.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
40.2%
Jordan Romano
37.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
12.4%
Jordan Romano
4.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
.335
Jordan Romano
.300
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
3.70
Jordan Romano
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 9.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
.9402.30
now 1.34
1.24
Jordan Romano
.9402.30
now 2.00
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
4023.60
now 15
14
Jordan Romano
4023.60
now 14
18
Winshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.0004.20
now 2
13
Jordan Romano
.0004.20
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.0009.40
now 2
13
Jordan Romano
.0009.40
now 4
47
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Thielbar — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowJordan Romano — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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