MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 6, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Thielbar
Caleb Thielbar
CHC · P
Change to
Chase Dollander
COL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Caleb Thielbar.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and saves. Chase Dollander’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Thielbar wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, SV); Chase Dollander wins 1 (K); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
93.3
Chase Dollander
98.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
15.1%
Chase Dollander
13.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
30.5%
Chase Dollander
24.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
38.7%
Chase Dollander
27.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
41.9%
Chase Dollander
52.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
14.0%
Chase Dollander
9.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
.321
Chase Dollander
.307
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
2.424.31
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
3.70
Chase Dollander
2.424.31
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.89
3.75
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
1.171.41
now 1.34
1.24
Chase Dollander
1.171.41
now 1.30
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
4060.20
now 15
14
Chase Dollander
4060.20
now 47
33
Winshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.2003.80
now 2
13
Chase Dollander
.2003.80
now 3
13
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.0005.60
now 2
14
Chase Dollander
.0005.60
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighCaleb Thielbar — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.70
Hold · wait & seeChase Dollander — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet