MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 22, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Thielbar
Caleb Thielbar
CHC · P
Change to
Chase Dollander
COL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Caleb Thielbar.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and saves. Chase Dollander’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Thielbar wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, SV); Chase Dollander wins 1 (K); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
93.3
Chase Dollander
98.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
14.9%
Chase Dollander
13.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
27.1%
Chase Dollander
24.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
36.8%
Chase Dollander
27.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
34.6%
Chase Dollander
52.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
13.5%
Chase Dollander
9.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
.331
Chase Dollander
.308
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
2.424.31
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
3.70
Chase Dollander
2.424.31
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.89
3.74
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
1.171.41
now 1.34
1.24
Chase Dollander
1.171.41
now 1.30
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
4083.60
now 15
30
Chase Dollander
4083.60
now 47
64
Winshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.0009
now 2
26
Chase Dollander
.0009
now 3
27
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.0009.80
now 2
27
Chase Dollander
.0009.80
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Thielbar — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeChase Dollander — hold.conf 0.50
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