Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryRico
71K ←32
3.73ERA →3.65
1.26WHIP →1.24
3–7W ←3–6
0SV →3–5
Current Season
ChaseCategoryRico
47K ←28
3.89ERA →0.71
1.30WHIP →0.63
3W3
0SV →3
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Dollander
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.83)
Rico Garcia
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.131 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.58 is 1.32 above the ERA — regression coming
Chase Dollander: 71 K / 3.73 ERA. Rico Garcia: 32 K / 3.65 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).