Rest of Season Projection
CamCategoryCasey
114K ←79
2.75ERA ←3.73
1.05WHIP ←1.27
6–14W ←2–5
0SV0
Current Season
CamCategoryCasey
81K ←49
1.50ERA ←2.27
0.85WHIP ←0.97
7W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cam Schlittler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.75 is 0.88 above the ERA — regression coming
Casey Mize
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.264 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.64 is 0.37 above the ERA — regression coming
Cam Schlittler: 116 K / 2.75 ERA. Casey Mize: 80 K / 3.73 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).